Investor confidence in China’s real estate market appear to be boosted by the government’s promise to support the sector and some loosening of policies. But analysts say China’s high-growth property market may be a thing of the past.

As part of a crackdown on the financial risks linked with speculative investing and heavily indebted developers like Evergrande, China is taking a fresh approach to its struggling real estate market. Recent government initiatives to stop real estate market speculation have led to decreased house sales in the midst of a slowing economy.

A substantial shift in the supply-demand dynamics of the real estate market was recognised by senior Chinese officials at a recent Politburo meeting, sparking demands for regulatory changes. The frequent argument for a restricted property market regulation, “houses are for living in, not for speculation,” was noticeably absent from the conference.

This shift in emphasis is seen by experts as a sign that economic risk has replaced financial risk as policymakers’ top priority. Industry insiders claim that the mantra’s removal demonstrates a growing awareness of the seriousness of the problem.

Although the optimistic tone coming from Beijing has encouraged hope, real estate specialists warn that for the real estate market to recover, practical adjustments like simplifying apartment purchase requirements, reduced down payments, and the abolition of price controls are essential.

Along with a 7.9% loss in real estate investment during the first half of this year, the decline in residential property sales—which fell over a third from the previous month and a year ago—does not support China’s development goals. Currently, policymakers are attempting to relax control measures by emphasizing affordable housing, education, and healthcare while permitting some price volatility in particular real estate market sectors.

Due to stalled development and funding issues, developers encountered major problems last year. The expansion of support measures for developers, intended to aid them in completing development and maintaining financial stability, has been China’s largest reform to its real estate policy.

While Evergrande’s financial problems raised fears about real estate defaults, Moody’s anticipates fewer defaults among Chinese developers this year since many were able to postpone maturities. Beijing’s real estate market policy orientation, however, still has to be clarified.

Overall, the shift in China’s attitude toward the real estate industry is an indication of prospective governmental changes and market-reviving initiatives. Industry participants expect more specific policy announcements in the next months as governments focus housing affordability and other crucial areas.


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